paper01.doc, last uploaded to 24 May 08

Note: This is paper01.doc saved as paper01.htm for those without Microsoft Word.  The content is identical, but the formatting got screwed up a bit.

Plan S, Launch Document #1

Prepared by : Henry Fiddler

Original Creation Date: Sunday, March 25, 2007, 6:30 AM

Table of Contents (TOC)

If you read this document sequentially, you will find some extras sandwiched in between these items. The reason is because I have only included the most important items here in the TOC.

There are hyperlinks throughout. Sometimes if you click on a hyperlink, the document will close strangely. This is a bug. If it happens, the workaround is simple. Just reopen it, and insert a single space anywhere in the document without saving. Then you can click the hyperlinks and the document will not close on you!

Part 1

Overview & Summary of Plan S, Launch Document #1

Part 2


I. Definitions

II. Problem Statement

III. Immediate Goals

IV. Ultimate Goals

V. RFP, Request for Proposals

VI. Tasks List

VII. Plan S, General Description & Primary Components

VIII. Specialist <> Generalist View < Extensive list of over 100 specialized areas of knowledge that contribute to the generalist view, that forms the basis of Plan S. Part 3


III. Major Needs

IV. My Position

V. Resource List, Overview/Description < formerly the "stuff list"

VI. Resource List (notes, locations, for archiving) ...

A. important web resources ...

B. my past writings ...

    1. 1979, HSIP, Human Survival Insurance Policy, about 13,000 words:
    1. 1996, CSEN, Common Sense 1996, 152 page book draft
C. paper notes I have written over the years ...
    1. 3x5, in office box
3) Pn's (spiral notebooks), office, van, etc. 4) folders, manila, tan vat, S-DAY, CSEN, book notes

graphics that need professional attention

D. commercially produced materials, misc (my possession) ...

F. computer files ...

    1. \r\or\san.pco < funding sources
    2. \r\cp\csen\* < Common Sense 1996 & Plan S files
3) \r\or\lib* < books, audio books, videos, movies

4) \r\or\bm* < Internet/web bookmarks

5) \r\cp\quotes.pco < Quotations

6) \mnby: Miller1 & 2, Petrocollapse, SDay*, Strangest_Secret, TAGR

^ mp3 recordings re Plan S, Peak Oil and Personal Development

7) emails to/fr William Kotke of 12/09-25/2006 \\kottke

8/9) emails to John Randall

G. computer files, Plan S, indexed here ...

Part 4

ps_kotke.doc, 12/25/06, E-mail trail with William Kotke, 12/09-25/06

Subject: Need Help, Are You Available?

Subject: Response From Henry Fiddler #1

Subject: Response From Henry Fiddler #2

5 point recap

Plan S, Single Paragraph Description

Basis for 10 million year species span

5 paradigm shifts to the "gene centric" view

6 point conclusion

Subject: Response From Henry Fiddler #5

Further insights into Plan S, 13 points

Part 5

03/20-22/07, emails to John Randall

Subject: Reflections on Meeting

Ken Wilber on Evolutionary Psychology

Reflections on "renewable energy"

Subject: Re: Peak oil

My primary focus is not on peak oil


Sources of mobility

Peak oil fear mongers

Science versus religion

Resource Based Economy

Subject: Re: Peak oil, Afterthoughts

Misc reflections on previous email

Part 1

Overview & Summary of Plan S, Launch Document #1

Hi guys!

Plan S is about redesigning civilization to a sustainable model (for the 10 million year long term), and then transitioning to it. Accordingly, it is a huge undertaking, and it continually challenges me, which is why I am now forced to ask for outside help and support. I am also mindful of my own mortality and realize that this body of work needs to be shared and passed on. It is 40 years in the making.

What you will find below is a patchwork quilt of various writings. If you are patient and use the hyperlinks, I think most of it will be clear. When there are questions, just call or email, or we can talk when I see you shortly.

Most of the main points of Plan S and this launch project are covered below in one place or another, however I will summarize here:

Part 2

This outline is based on a page of handwritten notes made in February, 2007.

I. Definitions A. Plan S, S-Day 1) A plan for a sustainable complex civilization for the next 10 million years, where "S" could mean any of:

2) sustainable, sustainability

3) survival

4) species

5) save the world

6) solar

7) solution box

B. WC1: Western Civilization 1

1) Agriculture, Ancient Greece to Newton, ~500 BC to 1687 AD

C. WC2: Western Civilization 2

1) Early Industry, The Coal Age, 1687 to 1900

D. WC3: Western Civilization 3

1) Latter Industry, The Petroleum Age, 1900 to present

E. CFR: Council on Foreign Relations

F. TLC: Trilateral Commission

G. TWO: The World Order, meaning: CFR + TLC + Bilderberg

II. Problem Statement

A. Time is short for WC3. Humanity needs a new plan ASAP.

B. Time is short for me personally. I am aging and have already had

some medical challenges.

C. Life is short. A long time is needed to assemble enough

information to develop a general plan. This is therefore a

multi-generational project.

D. I developed Plan S over the last four decades. It has been my

hobby, while I earned my living in the computer and entertainment

industries. Due to lack of funding, no assitance, and working in

my spare time, Plan S is not well documented. If I become

incapacitated, it may possibly be lost forever. Since Plan S is

very unique, I am now making it my vocation. I want it to become

well documented, and knowledge of it spread to persons of power

and influence worldwide.

E. References for "the big picture"

1) See the Specialist <> Generalist View below.

2) Out of these hundreds of disciplines, the two most basic, root

causes of humanity's problems are Evolutionary Psychology and Peak

Oil. For a detailed understanding of these two root causes:

3) How to Want What You Have, Chapter 3, Human Nature, by Dr Timothy

Miller. This book is readily available from the library or The Chap. 3 audio book excerpt is currently on my

server, 48 minute mp3:

4) Jay Hanson's, his Maximum Power page:

5) Matt Savinar's Peak Oil site:

III. Immediate Goals

A. To get Plan S out of my mind, and into the minds of other humans.

B. To build a core virtual organization to document and spread

awareness of Plan S.

C. Needed are a CEO, project manager, researchers, co-authors, ghost

writers, web designers, graphic artists, fundraisers, marketers,


D. The core organization is to be assembled from the RFP process below.

This file needs to be rewritten and posted on the web, for

worldwide response.

IV. Ultimate Goals

A. To develop and bring Plan S to the worldwide attention of our

current planetary management. This would include presentations to

individual members of TWO, at TWO meetings, at policy institutes

(think tanks), and to any other individuals with the power to

influence world policies.

B. At a time in the future, as a consensus develops among these

groups and individuals that a new direction is necessary for

humanity, there will already be general awareness of Plan S.

Then, it may be considered for implementation, along with other

worthy plans.

V. RFP, Request for Proposals

A. Cutoff date to submit: x (actually, we may leave it open ended)

B. Email submissions to: x (fill in later)

C. We are looking for initial core members of the "Virtual Plan S


D. Since each situation will be unique, interested parties are

requested to submit a proposal, as explained below.

E. Who may submit: individuals, couples, groups, organizations.

F. Submit proposals in any combination of formats such as: .txt,

.doc, .htm, .mp3, .wma, .wmv, .mov. These should be easily

readable on Windows, Mac or Linux.

G. Submit any length from a page to a book. If lengthy, please

include an executive summary.

H. Submit all that may apply, or be relevant for consideration:

I. resume(s)

J. background, skills, qualifications, why interested, past and

current related work and projects

K. any major agreements and/or concerns with Plan S

L. State willingness to travel and/or relocate, should the need


M. If willing to travel, how much and how often?

N. financial exchange: need for financial compensation, ability to

contribute financially and/or volunteer

O. Availability: full time or part time? If part time, what is your


P. If you are currently employed, and will need to terminate or take

leave from that employment, what length commitment will you need,

in order to do so? Or, could you work on a part time basis, while

we get acquainted?

Q. any other relevant information you would like to submit

VI. Tasks List

C. archive existing materials from the "resource list"

D. interpret "

E. curriculum development, based on above

F. media development: web, books, DVD's

G. web based learning program, Powerpoint slideshow, etc.

H. video conferencing

I. phone bridges

J. travelling, conducting 3 to 7 day seminars, worldwide

K. fundraising, grant writing

L. marketing

VII. Plan S, General Description & Primary Components

A. Humanity has a long history of building complex civilizations that

end in collapse (ref Toynbee, Tainter, Diamond). We are now

witnessing the collapse of WC3. Plan S is a plan for a new

complex civilization, that can sustain for the long term,

~10 million years.

B. I didnít list anymore here, since the main points are listed in

other places in this document.

VIII. Specialist <> Generalist View

A. Below is an ongoing and growing list of all the specialized areas

of knowledge that contribute to an understanding of our problems,

solutions, or both. Due to our extreme specialization in the 21st

century, getting a generalist's view is difficult and extremely

time consuming. I have spent 40 years!

B. The list below is copied from another file, is in rough form,

unsorted, and needs work. I just don't have time right now to

deal with it, but better than nothing!

[Note: The Specialist <> Generalist View has been deleted from this document since a more recent version is available here at: notes.htm.]

Part 3


I. TOC (moved to top of entire document)

II. Executive Summary (Didnít have time. See Overview at top.)

III. Major Needs

A. Plan S Policy Institute (Think Tank)

B. Executive and Project Management

C. Director of Research

D. Strategic Planning

E. Fundraising & Grant Writing

F. Operating Capital

IV. My Position

A. Lead Researcher & Plan S Architect

V. Resource List, Overview/Description

A. The resource list (formerly called the "stuff list"), is a list of most of the resources in my physical domain, that have built up over the years. It is provided here to give an idea of the extent of material to be archived, interpreted and organized, to bring Plan S into a form that can be presented to humanity. It is also provided so that in case I become incapacitated, these resources can be located and interpreted, to the best extent possible. VI. Resource List (notes, locations, for archiving) ...

A.important web resources ...

1) How to Want What You Have, Chapter 3, Human Nature, by Dr Timothy

Miller. This book is readily available from the library or The Chap. 3 audio book excerpt is currently on my

server, 48 minute mp3:

2) Jay Hanson's, his Maximum Power page:

3) Matt Savinar's Peak Oil site:

4) Dr Jack Lessinger, Lessinger Waves & Penturbia:

5) My July, 2003 Solution Box page:

6) Von Mises' Human Action, online:

B. my past writings ...

    1. 1979, HSIP, Human Survival Insurance Policy, about 13,000 words:

2) 1982, REN, Resource Exchange Network

3) 1996, CSEN, Common Sense 1996, 152 page book draft This one was done in an old version of Word and I printed about 35 copies at Kinkoís. Unfortunately, it was already out of date before the ink was dry!

C. paper notes I have written over the years ... 1) 3x5, in office box 2) 3x5, in van

These are the 3x5 pad notes I jot when Iím driving or the computer isnít on, or my spiral 3x5 notebook isnít handy. I make note of all ideas, regardless of how worthless they might seem! There are hundreds of these notes, and most will require some interpretation:

3) Pn's (spiral notebooks), office, van, etc.

These date back to 1982. Iím on #46 right now. Many of these notes have been transcribed to computer or a file folder, however many have not due to lack of time. Most notes will require interpretation:

4) folders, manila, tan vat, S-DAY, CSEN, book notes

Here are some of the folders that have a heavy concentration of Plan S resources in them.
The following images show some of the many graphics that beg for professional attention:

5) paper piles, office, CB, storage D. commercially produced materials, misc (my possession) ... 1) books, shelves, boxes, van 2) peak oil poster, in tube

3) National Geographic

4) Time Magazine, shelves, van

5) cassette programs, some already to mp3 (see below) ...

a) Earl Nightingale, several

b) Zig Ziglar


E. video ...

1) DVD's, End of Suburbia, etc.

2) VHS, in CB, van ??? (Ancient Prophesies, etc)

F. computer files ...

1) \r\or\san.pco

In this file I maintain a list of potential funding sources. I have identified about 200 so far. 2) \r\cp\csen\* This is where my research notes exist from my 1996 Common Sense project. I also keep Plan S files here. The file csencur.doc 538k, contains the text of my book Common Sense 1996, shown above.

Directory of C:\R\CP\CSEN03/23/2007 05:23 PM <DIR> .03/23/2007 05:23 PM <DIR> ..

10/20/1996 03:15 PM 3,203 BILLTODD.PCO

10/20/1996 02:46 PM 2,720 BILLTODD.WK1

07/03/1996 02:20 PM 2,295 BOOKCHG.WK1

05/15/2006 05:42 PM 3,261 BVR.PCO

12/08/2006 10:51 PM 58,776 CSENAA.PCO

04/24/2003 11:57 AM 57,772 CSENAB.PCO

12/14/2006 08:11 PM 58,812 CSENAC.PCO

08/22/2005 03:38 AM 52,598 CSENAD.PCO

08/22/2005 03:41 AM 55,224 CSENAE.PCO

12/21/1998 10:22 AM 50,189 CSENAF.PCO

08/15/2003 01:25 AM 14,169 CSENAG.PCO

12/21/2003 12:34 PM 48,616 CSENAH.PCO

09/29/1996 06:02 AM 59,493 CSENAI.PCO

11/21/2003 04:42 AM 26,985 CSENAJ.PCO

07/25/1996 11:01 PM 37,184 CSENAK.PCO

07/25/1996 11:03 PM 39,864 CSENAL.PCO

08/03/1996 03:05 AM 51,513 CSENAM.PCO

07/27/1996 07:11 PM 45,803 CSENAN.PCO

07/28/1996 04:37 PM 55,377 CSENAO.PCO

08/03/1996 01:21 PM 57,962 CSENAP.PCO

08/03/1996 03:56 PM 32,340 CSENAQ.PCO

11/20/2006 02:52 AM 54,415 CSENAR.PCO

02/07/2007 12:27 AM <DIR> CSENARC

03/21/2007 11:06 AM 51,681 CSENAS.PCO

02/12/1997 03:27 AM 45,359 CSENAT.PCO

02/12/2003 04:25 AM 60,672 CSENAU.PCO

09/22/1996 06:40 PM 32,418 CSENAV.PCO

09/22/1996 07:49 PM 12,087 CSENAW.PCO

01/21/1997 12:39 PM 19,192 CSENAX.PCO

09/15/1997 04:03 PM 32,718 CSENAY.PCO

12/17/1997 11:51 AM 8,260 CSENAZ.PCO

09/20/2000 09:07 PM 538,112 csencur.doc

08/02/1996 07:11 PM 40,184 CSENKEY.PCO

09/23/2006 10:25 PM 53,655 CSENOTE.PCO

07/27/1996 07:04 PM 51,066 CSENOTEG.PCO

08/22/2005 04:10 AM 32,676 CSENTBF1.PCO

12/27/2006 06:47 PM 60,875 CSENTBF2.PCO

05/02/1996 06:12 PM 1,069 CSENTPL.PCO

09/24/1996 02:20 PM 2,106 DSKFAX.WK1

08/18/2005 08:32 PM 4,463 IBI.PCO

04/11/1996 04:30 AM 24,866 KEYALPHA.PCO

06/13/2005 03:46 PM 17,920 Population Doubling.xls

03/22/2007 09:31 PM 76,288 ps_kotke.doc

03/23/2007 04:34 PM 8,548 PS_L01.BAK

03/23/2007 04:44 PM 8,548 PS_L01.PCO

03/23/2007 04:49 PM 4,778 PS_L02.BAK

03/23/2007 05:23 PM 4,778 PS_L02.PCO

03/22/2007 09:37 PM 19,456 ps_launch01.doc

03/23/2007 05:23 PM 2,562,048 ps_launch02.doc

03/23/2007 04:12 PM <DIR> PS_LIMG1

02/15/2007 03:13 PM 11,678 ROBBINS.PCO

12/28/2006 09:40 PM 2,448 SONG.PCO

12/30/2006 12:18 AM 29,696 stats.xls

09/17/2005 04:08 AM 7,489 WANN1.PCO

09/17/2005 04:07 AM 1,152 wann2.rtf

10/16/1996 04:07 PM 12,151 ZBIKE1.PCO

08/08/1996 12:16 PM 223,232 ZCOACH1.DOC

08/22/1996 04:21 PM 110,208 ZCOACH2.DOC

09/20/1996 01:05 AM 24,412 ZNET1.PCO

10/24/1996 12:40 AM 24,422 ZNET2.PCO

10/31/1996 08:53 AM 19,537 ZNET3.PCO

10/01/1996 11:33 PM 22,601 ZNET4.PCO

10/31/1996 12:50 PM 41,071 ZNET5.PCO

10/24/1996 01:44 AM 19,427 ZNET6.PCO

10/17/1996 08:59 PM 39,273 ZNET7.PCO

10/19/1996 12:23 PM 35,200 ZNET8.PCO

10/19/1996 12:38 PM 11,886 ZNET9.PCO

10/19/1996 03:28 PM 27,632 ZNETA.PCO

10/20/1996 12:09 AM 23,569 ZNETB.PCO

02/12/2003 01:37 PM 26,433 ZNETC.PCO

10/22/1996 04:38 PM 10,642 ZNETD.PCO

11/05/1996 09:22 PM 20,188 ZNETE.PCO

11/05/1996 09:38 PM 27,765 ZNETF.PCO

10/05/1996 01:16 AM 115,584 ZNETG.DOC

10/26/1996 10:36 PM 29,219 ZNETH.PCO

10/27/1996 12:08 AM 40,792 ZNETI.PCO

11/05/1996 10:24 PM 36,283 ZNETJ.PCO

11/09/1996 09:51 PM 17,643 ZNETK.PCO

06/09/1997 03:06 PM 4,602 ZNETL.PCO

06/15/1997 06:21 PM 13,668 ZNETM.PCO

07/26/1997 12:18 PM 35,707 ZNETN.PCO

07/08/1997 09:48 PM 56,038 ZNETO.PCO

80 File(s) 5,764,042 bytes

3) \r\or\lib* Here I keep lists of all books, audio books, videos and movies that I have read or viewed, or that I would like to read or view in the future. These lists cover materials back to 1964.

Directory of C:\R\OR\lib*

11/22/2006 12:51 PM 19,527 LIB.PCO

11/16/2005 05:30 PM 54,253 LIBLIST1.PCO

03/12/2007 12:55 PM 59,868 LIBLIST2.PCO

03/21/2007 03:59 PM 11,374 LIBLIST3.PCO

03/21/2007 10:32 PM 50,972 LIBVID.PCO

02/21/2007 06:15 PM 59,324 LIBYEAR1.PCO

12/27/2006 04:57 AM 14,415 LIBYEAR2.PCO

7 File(s) 269,733 bytes

4) \r\or\bm* (pull personal stuff) In these .htm and .xls files I keep all of my Internet/web bookmarks. There are thousands of bookmarks from the past decade of surfing, many relating to Plan S.

Directory of C:\R\OR\bm*03/23/2007 03:12 PM 636,928 bm.xls08/30/2006 08:21 PM 24,828 bm01.htm08/30/2006 08:22 PM 21,095 bm02.htm

06/06/2001 11:40 AM 22,809 bm03.htm

12/21/2003 12:29 PM 28,693 bm04.htm

12/21/2003 12:41 PM 23,694 bm05.htm

08/14/2000 09:24 PM 14,343 bm06.htm

02/06/2000 11:01 PM 7,096 bm07.htm

07/02/2005 06:22 AM 38,777 bm09.htm

10/24/2006 05:06 PM 16,957 bm10.htm

05/21/2005 11:27 PM 11,285 bm11.htm

06/07/2002 09:20 AM 2,458 bmbob1.htm

04/07/2000 09:32 AM 8,325 bmnam.htm

01/06/2001 04:03 AM 2,558 bmnam2.htm

10/18/2006 12:39 PM 67,053 bmnew.htm

12/03/1999 08:04 PM 2,573 bmstd.htm

03/02/2007 01:30 AM 251,802 bmva.htm

08/06/2005 11:47 PM 55,356 bmvb.htm

02/27/2005 08:03 PM 57,261 bmvc.htm

05/03/2005 01:20 PM 73,572 bmvd.htm

11/07/2003 03:51 AM 22,725 bmxes.htm

21 File(s) 1,390,188 bytes

5) \r\cp\quotes.pco This file contains all quotes I have collected over the years. 6) \mnby: Miller1 & 2, Petrocollapse, SDay*, Strangest_Secret, TAGR These folders contain dozens (perhaps hundreds) of hours of mp3 recordings relating to Plan S, Peak Oil and Personal Development as follows: Miller1, full audio book, How to Want What You Have, Dr Timothy Miller

Miller2, Chapter 3 of above, "Human Nature". This is also currently on my server, 48 minute mp3:

Petrocollapse, all audio from held in New York City, May 6, 2006. I downloaded these before they pulled them from their site.

Sday*, These folders contain mp3 recordings made during meetings with several individuals that I have explained Plan S to in detail over the past couple years. There are dozens of hours of extended recordings here.

Strangest_Secret, 1956 spoken word record by Earl Nightingale, widely considered the first spoken word personal development recording in history. The strangest secret is: "We become what we think about."

TAGR, 1960 audio book Think and Grow Rich, Napoleon Hill. Widely considered the all time bible of personal development. The original 1937 edition is in the public domain and available online at:

7) emails to/fr William Kotke of 12/09-25/2006 \\kottke a) originals are @ \pmail\mail in folders z 2006 Copies & Received

b) These are copied and consolidated into a single Word97

document: \r\cp\csen\ps_kotke.doc.

William Kotke is an author who has published 2 books: Final Empire and Garden Planet. He is online at: I was communicating with him by email during December, 2006 about helping with Plan S, however so far nothing has come of these emails, other than some useful written documentation. I have inserted this consolidated document in full, below. 8) email to John Randall of 20 March 2007, Reflections on Meeting

9) " 22 March 2007, Re: Peak oil (+Afterthoughts)

John Randall is a friend in Colorado interested in sustainable development. I met him a few years ago when he was working for the late Dennis Weaver, helping Dennis with his promotion of the hydrogen economy. We had a recent meeting in Boulder and these 3 emails followed. They contain several key Plan S insights. I inserted these emails in full, below. G. computer files, Plan S, indexed here ...

1) unless otherwise indicated, these are all in folder:


2) \r\or\s?.pco

These are my two most active Plan S files. S1.PCO serves as my main indexing file and the file where I keep many of my special lists. S2.PCO is my active journaling file, where I type in new ideas and concepts as they come to me (if my computer happens to be on and nearby, that is).

Directory of C:\R\OR

03/23/2007 05:23 PM 45,909 S1.PCO

03/21/2007 07:59 PM 54,882 S2.PCO

2 File(s) 100,791 bytes

3) ps_kotke.doc, William Kotke emails consolidated (explained above at F.7.b., included here below) Part 4

ps_kotke.doc, 12/25/06, E-mail trail with William Kotke, 12/09-25/06

From: Henry T Fiddler <>


Subject: Need Help, Are You Available?

Date sent: Sat, 09 Dec 2006 23:26:32 -0700

Send reply to:

Dear William,

Just discovered you and your work via Steven Lagavulin at his blog. I have been into this "save the

world" stuff for 4 decades and can't believe I've missed you so far.

Maybe since you aren't with a major publisher? Anyway, better late

than never.

I am in need of help with a number of projects for which I am not

well qualified and do not have time. I would like to learn of your

availability and possible interest. I will be on the West coast this

winter, and might even be able to meet with you. Or we can

communicate by email and phone.

Check out my solution box page at:

It is from 2003, way out of date, and never finished, but it is the

tip of the iceberg that I'm working on. It will give you some hints

of the direction I'm moving.




303-910-0194 << 24/7

From: "William Kotke" <>

To: <>

Subject: Re: Need Help, Are You Available?

Date sent: Mon, 11 Dec 2006 08:36:42 -0800

Dear Henry, thanks for the message. You need help for projects for which you

do not have time or skill? Am I available? For what?


From: "William Kotke" <>

To: <>

Subject: Re: Need Help, Are You Available?

Date sent: Fri, 22 Dec 2006 09:13:57 -0800

Henry, where are those solutions you mentioned?


From: Henry T Fiddler <>

To: "William Kotke" <>

Subject: Response From Henry Fiddler #1

Date sent: Sat, 23 Dec 2006 20:27:07 -0700

Send reply to:

> Henry, where are those solutions you mentioned?

Hi William ... got your prev. email and have been very busy, and

unable to send a proper reply. Right now, I am once again having

troubles with a chronic physical problem that greatly diminishes my

ability to use the computer. This is one of the main reasons I need

help. The brain is still working great. The body is not!

You should get 2 emails from me, #1 and #2. This is #1. I am also

forwarding a previous email to a good friend of mine in Oregon who is

a young biologist. It will also help you to understand better what

I'm up to. That forward is #2.

The unfinished 2003 page that I referred to previously gives some


however at that time, I had not yet gotten into:

* Plan S & S-Day

* evolutionary psychology

* neuroscience (limbic system, amygdala, etc.)

* the "dark side" of personal development

* resource based economics

* Austrian Economics (ie. Von Mises)

* L-Waves, as described by Dr Jack Lessinger

* Grand Lessinger Waves

* Jevons Paradox

* 10 sided emotional structures

* plus several others, of lesser importance

About 2 years ago, I finally synthesized all this into a plan called

"Plan S", which is all about targeting a specific date called "S-Day"

on which day a global paradigm shift would occur. In this context,

"S" could stand for any of:

* survival

* species

* sustainable

* save the world

* solution box

There is no guarantee this plan will work. It's best chance will be

if western civ. experiences a huge, dramatic, rapid, sudden shock, as

in the "frog dropped into boiling water". It will have a lesser

chance if the "frog is slowly boiled" and there is no sudden shock.

I do believe however that western civ. does face (over the coming 200

years) at least a 50% or greater chance of encountering the sudden

shock, in which case there will not be time to leisurely develop

"alternative plans". At that moment there will be a need for an "off

the shelf plan" and Plan S would then be ready and known to the

proper powers, for immediate implementation.

This work has been 40 years in development. I started as a teen ager

and am now 57. It is very extensive and cannot be condensed into a

single email. It is detailed and written. I have kept extensive

notes over the years, however they are in a jumble and many will

require interpretation by me. This is a generalist's solution and

combines many many disciplines. It is also coming from "the long

view" and considers a potential human species-span of 10 million

years give or take an order of magnitude.

Plan S is very unique. I have been looking for 40 years and have

seen nothing else even remotely like it. This is both because of the

generalist's view and also the very long time frame. I am not trying

to brag or get all ego'd out over my work. I am simply concerned

that if Plan S does not become known by humanity, and I become

incapacitated, it will be lost forever, and it is very unlikely

anyone else will ever recreate it.

In the last few years, I have had a few physical things going on with

my body, that tell me time is short. I realize that I need to get

this plan out to my fellow humans ASAP, while I can. As I said, the

brain is doing fine, but I cannot guarantee how long that will be the

case. So I need help either from a co-author, ghost writer, or some

combination of the two. I would like to get this stuff up on the web

ASAP. I have also identified many potential funding sources, however

to approach funders, something intelligible must be ready to present.

I am not there yet. A first cut needs to be prepared.

I am also hampered by being too close to my work. I don't really

know exactly what I have. There is too much to organize for one

individual. I need someone who can look at what I got, and see it

with fresh eyes, and help get it in order. Since I am so close to

and integrated with my work, I don't have the proper perspective to

even understand what needs to be presented first!

I wrote to you on a lark. I have not even read your stuff, but I

could tell immediately that:

1. you can write

2. we are very much on the same wavelength

3. you obviously have abilities to get stuff into print and up on the


That's all I needed to see, since that is what I need. I wrote you

on the lark that you might be available and interested in this

project. Thank you for your 2 emails. They are encouraging.

Since I am already in pain from writing this long email, I would ask

that further communication be by phone, if possible. I know this is

still vague, but the best I can muster at this moment. I'm sure you

are wondering what my physical problem is. In a nutshell, I have an

upper back myofascial condition that is chronic, been going on for a

decade, and I have serious flareups. It comes and goes, and I have

many ways of managing it, however staring at a computer screen for

hours, days and weeks on end, is simply out of the question. I need

to transfer what I got to another brain, and let that other brain do

the heavy lifting.

Also available are 10 to 20 hrs of mp3 recordings from a couple of

presentations and discussions I've had with a couple of friends on

Plan S. They are long, unedited, and quite boring in spots, but

easily uploaded to my server, if you want to have a listen. These

are from a little over a year ago, and are pretty current.

Another "also available" is a book I wrote in 1996, "Common Sense

1996 : a brand new plan for healing humanity and the Earth". It is

very dated but I think about 50% of it might still be useful to

incorporate. It was about 150 printed pages and is available as a

538k Word document. I could stick it on my server, or mail you a

printed copy. But it doesn't contain Plan S.

Let me know if you want to me to provide either the mp3's or the 1996

book. I have no idea how much time you have for all of this, so will

not provide these unless you request.

Would you be available to continue this communication by phone? I

have free minutes evenings and weekends on my cellphone. I am also

on Verizon and have free minutes 24/7 to other Verizon customers.


All the best,


303-910-0194 << 24/7

From: Henry T Fiddler <>

To: "William Kotke" <>

Subject: Response From Henry Fiddler #2

Date sent: Sat, 23 Dec 2006 20:27:10 -0700

Send reply to:

William ... this is the forward I mentioned in previous #1 email.

Please read #1 first. <<h>>

------- Forwarded message follows -------

From: Henry T Fiddler <>

To: Brian

Subject: Henry the Fiddler #2

Send reply to:

Date sent: Wed, 06 Dec 2006 06:32:39 -0700

[Sorry ... this got pretty long. I'd suggest printing it and reading

it while on the crapper! :-)]

OK ... I'm back ...

The truth will set you free, but first it will piss you off.

--Gloria Steinem

For every thousand hacking at the leaves of evil, there is one

striking at the root. --Henry David Thoreau

And now, to get to the meat of the matter. First, to recap:


Our planet and species need a lot of help, and I've been studying,

researching, thinking and planning, for the past 40 yrs (started in

high school). I ain't gonna be around forever and need to pass this

work on to future generations who will need it. If it is not passed

on, it will end up in a dumpster, and benefit no one, lost forever.


I've been going it alone all these years. I can no longer work this

way, as I'm getting old and am starting to wear out. I need to work

with others. I need help. I need to share my knowledge and plans,

and pass it all along.


I need a co-author to share the work with, and to share the rewards

with. I would like you to consider co-authoring this material with

me Brian. You are the most capable younger person I know, and you

obviously have the necessary abilities and qualifications for this

work. I believe you also have the necessary motivation. This will

be a long term partnership.


I feel an urgency about transferring this information. First, it is

urgent since I am already experiencing some reductions in my ability

to work at a high level, and this is likely to get worse over time.

Second, it is urgent since the world needs help ASAP!


In 1858, as Darwin was publishing his Origin of Species, he said he

felt as though he had confessed to a murder. Now, I feel exactly the

same way. This work will be seen as daring, ground breaking,

adventuresome, and no doubt, some will find it blasphemous. Much of

it will even challenge the ideals of our peer group of "Rainbow

hippie environmentalists".


OK ... now that's out of the way and we can move on.

Even before we talked, I knew that a budding community was forming,

but had no idea so many folks had arrived. This project may or may

not be appropriate for the community at large. It certainly might

be, and I'd already thought of that before we talked. Regardless,

you are the logical "point man" or "point of contact", due to your

skills as a scientist, biologist, computer geek, writer, fundraiser

and excellent communicator. I was also very impressed with some of

the other folks you mentioned: Mischa, Goat, Benjah, Jess, Lali,

Nathan. All of them are obviously committed and capable in the

extreme. You have my permission to share any of this with them, or

anyone else for that matter.


Now, let's see if I can condense 40 yrs into one paragraph! Here

goes (aw shucks, how 'bout one sentence):

"I am working on a detailed, written plan to create an instantaneous

paradigm shift that will put humanity on a sustainable course for the

long term."

That my friend, is also known as an "elevator speech".


All right, now for that paragraph:

The name of this detailed, written plan, is "Plan S". It is about

setting a day in the future, called S-Day. On S-Day the big paradigm

shift will happen worldwide. The "S" may mean any of these:

survival, species, sustainable, save the world, solution box

The plan is based on a generalist's understanding of the universe.

Humanity is currently faced with an endless barrage of "doom and

gloom thinking", and remains stuck in patterns, some of which have

been lurking for thousands of years. There is plenty of awareness of

what is wrong, and very few plans on how to fix it all. This

situation is partly due to our current specialist orientation as a

species. My work is about stepping way way back, looking at the big

picture, studying many different specialties, and in the process,

getting at the root causes of humanity's problems. I then study a

variety of solution aiding strategies, and apply classic problem

solving and brainstorming techniques to come up with a generalist's

solution and plan. This is Plan S, and S-Day.


OK ... so there's a sentence and a paragraph. Now I cannot for the

life of me put 40 years of research and detailed planning into a

single email, but I will give you some hints here, so you can start

getting an understanding of the scope of all this, because it is

simply HUGE! As a biologist, most of this should come as no surprise

to you Brian, however most of it came as quite a surprise to me.

What follows is a composite of Richard Leakey, E.O. Wilson, Stuart

Pimm and several Wikipedia pages:

The universe is ~13.7 billion years old.

Our Milky Way Galaxy is ~13.6 billion years old.

The earth and our solar system are ~4.6 billion years old.

DNA based life emerged ~3.5 billion years ago.

~30 billion species have existed on earth to date.

Of these ~30 billion, ~100 million species exist today. The rest are


Simple math tells us that of ~30 billion total species, 99.7% are

extinct, and .3% are present today.

There have been ~6 "major mass extinction events" over the past 540

million years.

We live during the latest (6th) extinction event. Our rate of

extinction is ~300 species going extinct per day. The typical range

expressed is between 100 and 1000 per day.

E.O. Wilson estimates that during this 6th extinction, half of all

present species will go extinct. This would be ~50 million species.

This current major mass extinction event is being caused by humanity.

The background rate of extinction is ~4 per year. The typical range

expressed is between 1 and 10 extinctions per year.

Simple math tells us that humanity is causing the extinction rate to

be ~10,000 times the base background extinction rate, give or take an

order of magnitude.

Humanity or "man" (genus Homo) appeared ~2.5 million years ago, in

the form of Homo Habilis (handy man).

Homo Erectus likely harnessed fire ~1.5 million years ago.

Anatomically modern Homo Sapiens have been around for ~160,000 to

~196,000 years, based on the fossil record in Africa.

Fully modern (mentally & spiritually) Homo Sapiens have been around

for ~40,000 years, based on the Cro Magnon cave excavations.

The horseshoe crab (Limulus Polyphemus), is alive and well today, and

has enjoyed a species-span of ~400 million years.

There are many species of cockroaches that are alive and well today,

that have enjoyed a species-span of ~400 to ~500 million years.

The average species-span of large mammals is between 1 and 4 million

years. Homo Sapiens is a large mammal.

The sun's hydrogen supply will power it for another ~5 billion years.

Present conditions in our solar system that support "DNA based life

as we know it", are likely to continue for another ~1 billion years.

Homo Sapiens will someday be extinct. Our species-span may be

affected by how we (intentionally or unintentionally) use our

collective brains, to either reduce or prolong our species-span.

Based on the above:

It is very likely that humanity could be present on earth for another

1 million years.

It is reasonably possible that humanity could be present on earth for

another 10 million years.

It is possible but unlikely, that humanity could be present on earth

for another 100 million years. Consider the increasing possibility

of an asteroid collision, or other unknown event.

It is theoretically possible but highly unlikely, that humanity could

be present on earth for the remaining 1 billion years that the earth

can be expected to support life.

Based on my work as a generalist taking the "big picture, long view",

and based on the above, I am working on plans for a 10 to 100 million

year species-span for humanity. This all means that we are presently

an infant species and are accordingly behaving in infantile ways.

This should be expected and is not any more unusual than watching the

infants of any species (including humans), acting in infantile ways!


This next section is about major paradigm shifts from the past, and

the current paradigm shift I am working on, that will produce S-Day:

[1] Flat Centric

The earth is flat. >> The earth is round.

[2] Earth Centric

The earth is in the center. >> The sun is in the center.

[3] Creation Centric

We were created by God. >> We evolved from chimpanzees.

[4] Euro Centric

We originated in Europe. >> We originated in Africa.

and now, blare of trumpets please ... TA DAAAAA ........

[5] Ego Centric

We are in control. >> Our genes are in control.

In a nutshell, the big paradigm shift brings our genes front and

center. It becomes common knowledge that genes and DNA are at the

bottom of all life here on earth, and they obey certain natural laws.

All of the problems us infant humans have caused are the result of

how our brains work and how we have used them so far. Therefore, my

work and planning is heavily "brain oriented" and draws on mind-brain

studies from these 3 disciplines:

Personal Development Industry

Evolutionary Psychology


To date, these 3 disciplines have never been integrated. My work

integrates them, and the result is Plan S & S-Day.


Now, let's wrap this up. I need some sleep!


My notes and diagrams number in the hundreds, if not thousands. They

exist on paper of all shapes and sizes, in folders, notebooks,

manuscripts, books, web pages, computer documents, etc. They are

very detailed. I have been researching, thinking, noting, writing

and planning for decades. I started writing in 1979.


This work has all been done as a hobby, while I was earning my living

in the computer and entertainment fields. It is time to change that,

and I need help. The volume of information is simply overwhelming,

and I can't do it all by myself.


All this written information needs to be copied and archived ASAP,

just incase something happens to me. A small part of it is already

well written and intelligible. But the vast majority will require

some amount of interpretation by me, since it is in rough form. The

interpreting should not begin however until everything is first

copied and archived.


I have already identified many funding sources for this work. It

will lend itself to an endless variety of information products

(books, DVD's, websites) that can be created and sold worldwide.

There is also the possibility of seminars, classes, phone bridges,

video conferencing, etc., and some of this could occur at the land

you are contemplating buying.


World transformation, sustainable living and paradigm shift will

increasingly become very big business in my opinion. The ones with

the best information and plans are the ones that will do the best in

the marketplace of ideas and finance. Fossil fuel based industrial

society is coming to an end, and people will increasingly become

desperate for solid information and plans for a workable replacement.


After I am gone, it will all be yours and/or the community's. I have

no heirs and my sister is not interested in this stuff at all.


Almost done ...

Brian, I come to you with no expectations. I just think you are the

best one for this job, and I'm giving you first dibs here. I see

that you are young and have boundless energy and can write well. I

feel that we are closely aligned in terms of a higher purpose here on

this little planet. But I am also aware that you are on your

existing life course, and I am jumping into the middle of that course

with no warning. So I can't have any expectations, and everything is


I don't want to try and talk you into or out of this. I just want to

let you know the situation and present this as an opportunity to you.

And thru you, it can become an opportunity to others in your/our

larger community.

We need to look at the timing over the next month. I am packing this

week and expect to hit the road in the next couple of weeks. I'm

aware the holidays are upon us and you and others may be travelling.

No point in my coming to Eugene if you or other key folks will be

off, or if this doesn't turn you on.

And finally, I actually EXPECT that there will be some, and perhaps

many, points of disagreement. I will explain more about this later.

For now, all I ask is that you are honest with me. Since I am

expecting disagreement, it won't bother me at all to hear it. It is

a normal and healthy part of the process. It is OK for us to agree

to disagree.



P.S. I know you're prolly overwhelmed from all this, but if ya got a

little steam left, stop in at my 2003 writings. This was my very

first web page of my entire life, and is extremely dated by now.

Bear in mind that this IS NOT Plan S. But it will give some starting

insights into some of the components of the plan:

There were #ís 3 & 4 but they arenít important, so I left them out.

From: Henry T Fiddler <>

To: William Kotke <>

Subject: Response From Henry Fiddler #5

Date sent: Sun, 24 Dec 2006 05:21:31 -0700

Send reply to:

Well ... feeling better, so took an hour and skimmed your Final

Empire book from 1993, bearing in mind of course that it was written

some 13 years ago. I wonder how much your thinking has changed since


First, I see that we are very much on the same path. We agree that

there is no way to save, or any point in saving Western Civ. We

agree that there must be a drastic population reduction and that a

very severe dieoff is likely. We are in agreement about many of the

ills of the current civilization, and you have even helped me to add

a half dozen to my always growing list.

At the end you write:

> Rather than wait for this to occur, we need take action now. We must

> overcome our paralysis of fear and confusion and take control of our

> lives.

I agree, and that is why I want to get Plan S out of my brain and

into the minds of my fellow humans. Perhaps we can work together on

this task William.

BTW, I have been known as a perfectionist, although I am guilty of

not spell checking my previous emails, and I already know there is

one misspelling in #1. Sorry. Anyway, I did notice one in your


On that page, you mentioned Psychologist Nathaniel Braden. His

surname is actually spelled "Branden":

You might want to correct that when you get a chance.

I could provide a variety of critical feedback on your 1993 work,

however I will pass, since it is 13 yrs old, and I would rather focus

on your query:

> Henry, where are those solutions you mentioned?

It is now past 3 AM, and being a night owl, I seem to do my best work

during these hours. Here then, are some further insights into Plan

S. Please bear in mind that I have dozens of scribbled and scrawled

diagrams, pictures, images etc., that are much easier to understand

than a bunch of words, and they can be provided at some point. For

now, I will do my best with just the words...

Plan S is a generalist's plan, based on many specific building blocks

that are not well known (or are virtually unknown) within the

contemporary "sustainability crowd". Here are some of those building



10 sided emotional structures. This one is mine. I identify 10

underlying factors that tend to crystalize individuals and society,

keeping the whole structure locked into patterns, some of which go

back thousands of years. Some of these factors are: family,

neighborhood, religion, politics, occupation/livelihood, hobbies,



Evolutionary Psychology. I was introduced to E.P. by Dr. Timothy

Miller of Stockton, CA, who wrote, "How to Want What You Have" in

1995. His third chapter, "Human Nature" is beyond excellent. It set

me on the path of understanding the mechanism of genetics and how our

brains are wired up and why.


Neuroscience, the Limbic System and Amygdala. I recently discovered

this arena of knowledge and learned about the evolutionary and

genetic origins of spirituality and religion. This goes hand in hand

with E.P.


Dr Jack Lessinger, whom I finally met in May of this year, has

identified 120 year socioeconomic cycles and calls them Lessinger

Waves or L-Waves for short. These waves overlap and cause what he

calls "seasons of depression". This is a key concept to Plan S.


Grand Lessinger Waves. This one is mine. I have extrapolated Dr

Lessinger's waves to the larger time frame of 40,000 years. The

underlying concepts are identical. The time frame scope is different

however. As a result I forsee a "grand season of depression" and we

are in it right now.


The "dark side" of the personal development industry (PDI). I wrote

about (in my Solution Box web page) and have a lot of personal

experience with the PDI. However after due dilligence, I have found

that PDI is itself corrupted by the very same genetic factors that

E.P. teaches about, and which have caused corruption at all levels of

Western Civ., including the collapse of Enron, Tyco, Worldcom. This

must be addressed before PDI can contribute to Plan S.


Resource Based Economics and Austrian Economics (Von Mises). I've

been a student of Von Mises for decades, however his magnum opus,

Human Action was written in the 40's, over a decade before Hubbert

first talked about Peak Oil. He was also 3 decades prior to the

dismantling of Bretton Woods. So Von Mises spoke of free enterprise

and laissez faire, within the context of a stable precious metals

based economic system, and with no end to the fossil fuels in sight.

Also, world pop. was only 2 billion.

This has all changed now. We are at the Peak, and the world economic

system has been completely debased. I am looking at installing a

brand new economic system, based on all of our planet's material

resources, solar resources, and one which is stabilized ... not free

floating. Within such a system, prices of goods and services will be

set, so as to conserve our planet's resource base.


Jevons Paradox, which basically informs that if only a tiny minority

is practicing conservation and so called "sustainable living", the

goals sought are never reached. In fact, just the opposite is true.

In other words, the conservationists and sustainable living folks,

are unknowingly exacerbating the problem, rather than helping to

solve it. They actually cause more waste, than savings. This is a

great tragedy, since millions of human-hours of well intentioned,

precious and valuable energy is being wasted, which needs to be



The World Order (TWO). This group of powerful people has been almost

totally misunderstood. I look at them from the E.P./genetic point of

view. I understand that there is no "us - them". Rather, we are all

a bunch of 46 chromosomed individuals, all persuing our individual

genetic programs. In other words, we are all "us". As soon as we

draw an "us - them" line in the sand, then we get into the "exception

business". We say, "Oh, but we must make exceptions for Oprah and

George Soros and John Templeton and Paul Allen and Ray Kurzweil and

Pierre Omidyar and oh yes ... all those wonderful philanthropists

that BusinessWeek writes about every year ...........", until the

exception becomes the rule. I understand the importance of including

TWO, since they are currently in control of our planet's resources

and also in the way Western Civ. works.


Entertainment Industry, of which I am a member. This group is

integral to Plan S, since leadership at present is coming more from

all forms of entertainers, than from society's previous traditional

leaders: religious and political. The entertainment industry must

therefore be an important component of any plan.


The Solution Box. This is what inspired me to put up that web page:

in 2003. It is still very important in working Plan S, however the

Personal Development Industry (PDI) plays a key role in working this

Solution Box. Until the PDI faces its own "dark side" (#6 above), it

is of no use to Plan S.


Puzzle Slide (hard to explain without a diagram). Here, I show our

current Western Civ. world paradigm as a puzzle with hundreds of

individual pieces, that fit well together. They all have a

particular set of characteristics of size, shape, texture, colors,

temperatures, etc. The new world paradigm (true sustainability),

will also be shown as a puzzle with hundreds of well fitting pieces.

However this new paradigm will be seen with pieces very different in

their sizes, shapes, textures, colors, temperatures, etc. It is

impossible to put puzzle pieces from one puzzle into the other one,

individually. They will not fit at all ... they will be misfits.

This along with Jevons Paradox, is why we are still saying, decades

after Limits to Growth ... "IF ONLY WE HAD STARTED 30 TO 50 YEARS



Putting all the above together:

Plan S is about setting a date at some point in the future and

calling it S-Day. On S-Day, humanity does an about face, all

together ... all 7 to 10 billion of us. On the surface nothing will

appear to change, but underneath the surface, the change is one of

direction. Right now, the direction is towards waste and total

destruction of life support. After S-Day, the direction will be just

the opposite and it will be a 100% shift, to defeat Jevons Paradox.

Plan S, can only be implemented by a consensus of The World Order

(TWO), which will be delivered the Plan ASAP. S-Day cuts off the

"grand season of depression" by flipping from one puzzle (paradigm)

to another puzzle (paradigm) all at once, so the misfit puzzle pieces

are not an issue. The 10 sided emotional structure crystalization is

defeated, since everyone changes direction together. In other words,

the whole system flips direction, in an instant. This is the classic

"paradigm shift" that has been fantasized about for decades, but no

one that I know of has put forth a detailed plan on how to pull it

off. Well ... I have been working on the plan for 40 years, and now

it is ready to be hatched.

This is a top down approach from a small group of say 10,000 powerful

individuals that comprise TWO. It is the opposite of a bottoms up

approach where the change starts with the billions in the rank and

file of humanity. This is a complete opposite from the beliefs of

the movement, the activists, the left, the counter culture, the new

age and the liberals. They think, "If the people will lead, the

leaders will follow." This mantra is nice in theory, but first the

people must become unified in order to lead. After long study, I see

no basis or method for unification of "the people". I do however see

a way to unify TWO. They are a small bunch (relatively), are very

well organized (relatively), hold regular meetings and do take

unified actions. And I believe the likelihood is very high that at

some point in the next 200 years, TWO will meet, and will be

desperate for a detailed plan for the future of our species. Time

will be critically short and there will not be the luxury of

"referring to committee for study and proposals".

The basic concept here is to get Plan S well defined in writing, and

delivered to the thousands of individuals who comprise TWO and who

wield massive power, ASAP. Then, when a plan is needed at a critical

moment, it will be both known about, and available for


BTW, I speak from experience. I have entertained twice at the home

of George and Wendy Weyerhauser in Tacoma, Washington. One time was

for George's retirement, and the chairman of Boeing was present,

along with dozens of the most powerful people in the Northwest. Just

reg'ler folks I might add.

So William, you asked:

> Henry, where are those solutions you mentioned?

Well, you asked, so now you receive. I realize that was a brief

sketch and likely leaves many more questions than it answers, but at

least it is a bit of a start.

And now, almost 2 hrs later ... I'm ready for a nap. And my shoulder

is aching under the heating pad. I do need help with this. :-)



303-910-0194 << 24/7

From: Henry T Fiddler <>

To: William Kotke <>

Subject: Correction To: Response From Henry Fiddler #5

Date sent: Mon, 25 Dec 2006 02:12:15 -0700

Send reply to:

William ... sorry, but in my #5 last night, I wrote:

> At the end you write:


> > Rather than wait for this to occur, we need take action now. We must

> > overcome our paralysis of fear and confusion and take control of our

> > lives.

Whoops! I just realized that I was in Chap 10 and for some reason

got the impression I was at the end of the book. Anyways, I just

skimmed the remaining 10 chapters, and am very impressed with your

knowledge. During the first 10 chapters (which I skimmed quickly), I

had not seen any mention of Aztec, Inca, Maya which dismayed me. I

was very happy to see your extensive writings on these during the

second half of the book.

OK ... just wanted to make that correction. Awaiting your reply ...



The end Ö awaiting his reply.

This is the end of: ps_kotke.doc, 12/25/06, E-mail trail with William Kotke, 12/09-25/06

Part 5

03/20-22/07, emails to John Randall

From: Henry T Fiddler <>

To: John Randall

Subject: Reflections on Meeting

Send reply to:

Date sent: Tue, 20 Mar 2007 05:38:07 -0600

Hey John ... good meeting! Here is the order I would suggest you

peruse the pages we discussed:

1. Chapter 3, Human Nature (the 48 min mp3)

(also, the whole book, How to Want What You Have is excellent,

but chap 3 is the important one ... listen to it or read it first)

2. Jevons Paradox at Wikipedia



(be sure to look at both his pages)


also, checkout that 4 part, 4 hour, miniseries at Google Videos:

The Century of the Self


Here is what Ken Wilber has to say about E.P.:

"Evolutionary psychology managed to pull the rug out from under the

rug-pullers, and it did so by showing that evolutionary principles

give much more interesting and compelling explanations of human

behavior than the standard postmodern claim that all behavior is

culturally relative and socially constructed. Evolutionary

psychology made it clear that there are indeed universals in the

human condition, that evolution can be denied only by embracing

incoherence, and that, most of all, postmodernism just wasn't any fun

any more." --Ken Wilber, A Theory of Everything


Reflections on your final assertions about "renewable energy":

There is no such thing as "renewable energy" or "non-renewable

energy". These are both abstractions invented by humans. Even

"energy" as we humans define it is an abstraction. The commonly

accepted definition is "the capacity to do work", and the common unit

of measurement in physics is the joule. This is where we must start

if we put energy at the center of the big question of how us humans

might design a civilization that doesn't come crashing down on us.

However in my thinking, it is not energy which must be at the center.

Rather, it is our genes that must be placed front and center.

Energy (in all its many forms, renewable and non-renewable), can and

should, only be considered after we understand our genes, and respect

their primal position as the determinant of our innate natures and


This is the major paradigm shift in our minds, that must preceed any

design process for a sustainable civilization that won't come

crashing down, like the other 26 or so before us. And I acknowledge

that this is a gargantuan shift to make, and it takes time. It has

taken me several years to really understand and embrace this shift.

However, once the shift is made, then everything becomes quite simple

and elegant. It is much like the Copernican shift from the Earth to

the Sun at the center. Before that shift in thinking, the

astronomers on our planet had a very hard time indeed, explaining the

motions they observed in the heavens. After the shift, the

astronomers must have feel great exhilaration, as their observed

motions suddenly made sense for a change!

Likewise, our jobs as designers of sustainable civilization will be

greatly simplified, once we put our 31,000 genes on center stage.

All discussions of energy and energy use policies must be tabled

until we understand our genes and their central role in determining

who we are and how our minds work.

I don't mean to burst your bubble my good friend, however I must

admit that I have watched many of my own bubbles bursting over the

years since you informed me that hydrogen is not an energy source.

Going thru the bursting process is indeed painful, as we ourselves

become the monkeys who are letting go of our highly cherished

coconuts! However my own experience is that after watching those

bubbles burst and letting go of those coconuts, the resulting feeling

is one of exhilaration. I highly recommend it!

Let us continue the discussion!



From: Henry T Fiddler <>

To: "John Randall"

Subject: Re: Peak oil

Send reply to:

Date sent: Thu, 22 Mar 2007 01:35:15 -0600

Hi John ...

My primary focus is not on peak oil, or human mobility, or on energy

resources, or on science versus religion. My primary focus is on the

much larger question of how our species might learn to build an

advanced, complex civilization that might sustain over the course of

the next 10 million years. I consider this a likely species span for

homo sapiens. Per Toynbee and Tainter, we have not done this yet.

We keep building complex civilizations that rise and fall in very

short order. I believe we can learn from our past mistakes and new

information accumulated over the past couple centuries. The issues

of energy use policies, mobility, science and religion are

subordinate to this larger goal. If we are going to continue our

discussion, you and I need to get onto the same page. As I have told

Ian many times, he and I are working on vastly different time

frames. It is actually possible to be working in different frames of

reference, come up with opposite conclusions, and both be right. It

appears that you and I may also be working in vastly different frames

of reference. If so, I certainly respect your right to work in the

frame that interests you John.

With that said, here are my comments:

> Read Ayer's God's Last Offer.

Nothing found at for that.

> there are many thousands of times the energy available in renewable

> resources than are used by humans today.

Where are your metrics? For how many humans at how many joules or

calories or kilowatts or horsepower per individual per unit of time?

I'm sorry John ... at least part of my brain is scientific, and

requires specifics.

In addition, only 1/10th of humans today own and drive automobiles.

What about the other 9/10ths? Are we going to guarantee and provide

unlimited mobility and unlimited energy use to unlimited numbers of

humans, just because the energy is available in unlimited quantities

if we switch to renewables? How about the infrastructure? Where do

we get the machinery and energy to build the infrastructure for this

unlimited utopia based on the many thousands of times the energy that

we use today? Who is saying this? Amory? I have been to his place

twice, and am not impressed. Metrics please!

> We will not give up our technologically advanced state of mobility

> just because there is a shortage of fossil fuel.

Why not? For the past 2.5 million years humans have been mobil.

They have used their arms and legs, animal's legs, and the wind to

mobilize all over this little planet. Once again, where are your

metrics? Where is it written that the "advanced mobility" we have

achieved in the past 100 yrs is the norm, and that without it, we

will all feel incredibly deprived? I am unaware of any study that

shows that humans are happier, more fulfilled, more content with

their lives as a result of "advanced mobility" during the past 100

yrs, than they were during the previous 2.5 million years, utilizing

"unadvanced mobility". Are you? If so, I would like to see the

studies. If anything, most of what I have read and observed,

indicates that people on balance, are actually less content in our

modern era than during past eras. Read anything by Juliet Schor.

Key words: "on balance"!

> "10 calories of fossil fuels are required to produce every 1 calorie

> of food eaten in the US. " This true because of transportation and

> packaging not because food in intrisically energy intensive.

True. Now, someone squeezed all the toothpaste out of the tube.

Getting it back into the tube, ain't going to be quite as easy as

squeezing it out, my friend! Any suggestions on how we get back to a

nice, easy going agrarian world economy of 500 million folks, like we

had back in 1650?

> "people and nations behave wisely...once they have exhausted all other

> alternatives."

Yup ... I have that quote on file. It is from Abba Eban.

> I am tired of reading the mad ramblings of peak oil fear mongers like

> Hanson and Savinar and simmons et all.

I find nothing fearful in their writings John. They are honest,

intelligent guys, who are doing their best to share their research.

That doesn't mean we have to agree 100% with their conclusions, and I

do not. I do not believe the world is doomed, or that humanity is

doomed, or that humanity faces a 100% dieoff. These people show no

awareness at all of Personal Development, or the power and creativity

of the human mind to solve problems, to set goals, to strive for them

and to achieve them. I do not place these people on pedestals and

worship their every word. I have in fact tried to communicate with

Hanson and Simmons, and find them closed minded to my message. None

the less, I do not dismiss them out of hand as "fear mongers". To do

so is to ignore some very valuable information that they have

researched and presented.

> I find that there are some seroiusly flawed deductions in the world of

> evolutionary science as applied to human behavior and am not sure Tim

> Miller has much to say of interest to me at present. Get a copy of

> Guide for the Perplexed and you will begin to understand why science

> doesn't have the answers and the human adventure is more open that most

> people imagine.

By evolutionary science you mean evolutionary psychology (E.P.)? I

presume so. So what are the flaws? I just checked the

reviews of Perplexed. Doesn't look like anything I would read. Here

is a man who other readers find putting science and evolution down

and propping religion and spirituality up. I am interested in the

connection between the two, and firmly believe we need both of them.

They both play important roles in the big picture. I find that E.P.

is very clear on the great advantage that religion gave to homo

sapiens, which caused it to spread universally thru our genome. I

showed you at Hanson's page193 the other day, what E.O. Wilson had to

say on that. Here it is again:

"The human mind evolved to believe in gods. Acceptance of the

supernatural conveyed a great advantage throughout prehistory, when

the brain was evolving. Thus it is in sharp contrast to [science]

which was developed as a product of the modern age and is not

underwritten by genetic algorithms." --E.O. Wilson

If you are not going to listen to 48 minutes of Miller, and are

closed to the message of E.P., then I'm afraid we will have to agree

to disagree, much as you and Ian have come to an impasse over the

matter of peace versus war. At this moment, I am firmly of the

belief that understanding our genes and placing them on center stage,

must preceed any discussion of energy or mobility or a thousand other

things. This was not my belief 5 years ago, and may not be my belief

5 years hence, but it is my belief now, and the Miller, Hanson and

Wilber stuff is the basis for this current belief.

I find it hypocritical when I hear someone on one hand trashing

science and evolution, and with the other hand holding up mobility

using machinery propelled with solar and wind energy. Machines that

use external energy sources for propulsion by definition, require

Newton's 3 laws of motion, and Newton was humanity's preeminent

scientist until Einstein showed up. Duh? This hypocrisy calls into

question your philosophy and underlying motives John. Is it

possible that you are the monkey holding ever so tightly onto your

coconut (of renewably powered mobility) and not even aware you are

doing so? This is what it looks like from my vantage point. I am

holding up a mirror for you, that you may look into, or not look

into. That is your choice.

Ian is the same way. His coconut is "the renewable hydrogen

economy". All of my research indicates that this will never happen.

> "The problem is, of course, that not only is economics bankrupt but it

> has always been nothing more than politics in disguise ... economics is

> a form of brain damage." -- Hazel Henderson

This one is also in my quotes file. The economist I prefer is Ludwig

Von Mises, the "father of the Austrian School of Economics". He is a

major proponent of laissez faire free markets. He wrote in the 40's,

pre Hubbert, pre the demise of Bretton Woods (ie. fixed exchange

rates), and pre coming off the gold standard. He did not forsee the

mania we are now in. So I have my problems with his stuff, but I

have to give the man a break. He wrote in a completely different

era. I believe that many of his concepts will work quite well in the

context of a resource based economy/world currency. These are

prominent components of Plan S. I would agree with Hazel had she

written "most economics". Obviously we must figure out some sort of

economic system for worldwide exchange of goods and services, that

doesn't destroy our ecosystem and resource base. There may be hope

for economics yet.

BTW, you seem to believe we have free markets at present. Not true!

Our global markets are currently compromised by an endless stream of

taxes, subsidies, tariffs and regulations promulgated by hundreds of

governments, corporations and special interests. And then we have

Lester Brown coming along with Plan B, and proposing yet even more

green taxes and subsides. Gimme a break! What we

need are free markets, with a resource based currency, so we can get

all this interference out of the way, and allow prices to accurately

reflect the underlying cost to our resource base. Then people can

act as individuals on those prices and make informed economic

decisions that automatically preserve and conserve (rather than waste

and destroy) our planet's ecosystem and resource base.


Thank you for the opportunity to express these thoughts. They will

come in handy down the line as I continue my work on Plan S!

All the best,


From: Henry T Fiddler <>

To: John Randall

Subject: Re: Peak oil, Afterthoughts

Send reply to:

Date sent: Thu, 22 Mar 2007 09:36:56 -0600

I just realized you made no comment at all on Savinar's:

"What about green alternatives like solar, wind, wave, and


It is about 20% down the page. I just re-read it and find his

conclusions jibe with others I have read over the years. He doesn't

dismiss renewables out of hand. He simply points out that they will

"never be able to replace more than a tiny fraction of the energy we

get from oil".

Even if you are right about the 10,000 mpg or 10,000 mpd (dollar)

metric, you have already admitted that Jevons Paradox (not Jeavons)

does indeed apply to non-renewable energy sources. So lets say a few

rich folk tool up to build a few cars that get that kind of fuel

economy. This doesn't solve any global resource problems. Rather,

it exacerbates them, by allowing the Bush-ites to blow the conserved

fuel in one of their oil wars!

Furthermore, lets say you are right about the 10,000 mpg/mpd metric,

and that we somehow manage to tool up and build 9 billion cars, plus

the infrastructure needed to assemble them, bring them to market and

keep them fueled and serviced over the next 10 million years (MY).

Now, the question still remains, is personal mobility the best use

for these non-renewable resources? Afterall, as I pointed out in the

previous email, we covered our mobility needs just fine for 2.5 MY

with human and animal muscles and wind.

Perhaps there are more pressing needs for non-renewables over the

coming 10 MY such as modern medicine, computers, the Internet,

bicycle tires and grease, etc. Bear in mind that we have an ethical

and moral responsibility to amortize non-renewables over the long

haul. These are goods and services that were completely absent from

the human experience over the past 2.5 MY! Why not use precious non-

renewable resources to provide NEW services to humanity over the long

haul, rather than enhancing ALREADY EXISTING services? We could even

consider space exploration using chemically powered rockets. But

personal mobility??? C'mon now. You might actually convince me that

building 9 billion recumbent bicycles makes sense. Consider the mpd

metric in that case! But even recumbents would have to be weighed

carefully against other competing uses, such as medicine and the


Ultimately however, in a resource based free market economy, you and

I, nor the government, nor some think tank or policy institute, would

figure these things out. These decisions ultimately get made by

informed individuals who vote with their resource based currency,

based on realistic prices that are tied to our planet's resource

base. This frees us from having to read the minds of the 9 billion

informed individuals doing the voting.

Welcome to a little part of Plan S!



This is the end of: 03/20-22/07, emails to John Randall